Alert! Biden might lose to Trump [Presidential electoral map snapshot: 8/31/2020]

Alert! Biden losing ground in electoral college and polling

NC is now determinate in a no toss up match, biden still wins but it is a nail-biter 


Polling data used is: 


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html


biden 265

trump 131 

toss up 142 


no toss up 

biden 336

trump 200

toss up 2 (ne and me special electoral districts not evaluated)


blue 

fl light

pa light 

nh solid 


red


io light 

mo light 


toss up 

nc r (thin margin)

wi b 

mi b 

mn b 

az b

oh b 

ga r 

tx r 

nv b 


How to outsmart the Prisoner’s Dilemma - Lucas Husted

 https://youtu.be/emyi4z-O0ls

Apply this to the bible

Apply this to inflation expectations 

Apply this to binary behavioral economics 

Apply this to duopoly politics 
 
Many uses to solve some economics issues 






Ex-RBI Chief Rajan Says Fed Is Making an Important Shift

 https://youtu.be/COxNbL_tLy0



letting inflation hotter will devalue the willingness to hold that currency, to be a participant with that currency. higher inflation will increase the value of cryptocurrencies such as btc. inflation will also increase the rate of reciprocity by the voting public and thus politicians to increase interest rates AND labor rates....eventually. 

Ideally, the inflation rate average the federal reserve (or any central bank) should target inflation average of about 6-18 months.

Real world solution: fiscal policy for money to all citizens (real people, not corporations) such as a UBI, this would adjust private market interest rates closer to Federal Funds Rate and overnight LIBOR rates, etc... The wealthy families and powerful of the world do not want this as it would destroy their lifestyle standards set forth in their probates.

Epic vs. Apple

 https://youtu.be/NNut3fwkG1s

Friday, August 28, 2020

Alert! Biden might lose to Trump [Presidential electoral map snapshot: 8/28/2020]

 Alert! Biden might lose to Trump

America responds to K. Harris as bad VP choice by Biden. Polling shows that Bell weather state of North Carolina with polling fundamentally tied to maybe Trump winning election. 

Alert! Biden losing ground in electoral college and polling

Otherwise, it might also be possible that both parties lose on election night to 3rd party candidates. No one gets a majority vote of above 45% at polls. Other parties might win enough to swing election to Trump's favor; while Democrats lose. 


Polling data used is: 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html


Snapshot below: 

***remember need 270 to win the office. 

biden 265

trump 131

toss up 142


with no toss up map's projection of ne and me districts: 

biden 266

trump 132 

no toss up 140


no toss up

biden 336

trump 185

no toss up 17 (nc too close to call; ne and me not evaluated)


blue 

nh strong

fl light 

pa light 


red 

io light 

mo light 



toss up 

*if no toss up then utilize b for biden and r for trump

wi b

mi b 

nc (too close to call; cannot determine projection is declared toss up)

mn b 

az b

oh b 

ga r 

tx r 

nv b 


Billionaire Ackman defends capitalism, but warns inequality poses a 'black-swan type' risk

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bill-ackman-on-wealth-inequality-and-defense-of-capitalism-213958621.html

Presidential electoral map snapshot: 8/26/2020

And subsequent polling used: 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html

***remember need 270 to win the office. 

Quick snapshot 

if toss ups:

biden 281

trump 131

toss up 126 


no toss up 

biden 336 

trump 185 

toss up 17 

*nc too close to call 

ne and me special electoral votes are not evaluated 

for reference of figures used per polling:

blue 

fl light 

mi light 

pa light 

nh strong


red

io light 

mo light 


toss up 

*if no toss up then utilize b for biden and r for trump

nc (too close to call) 

wi b 

mn b 

az b 

ga r 

oh b 

tx r 

nv b 


Monday, August 24, 2020

The King of Germany Will Accept Your Bank Deposits Now

 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-05-19/who-is-germany-s-self-proclaimed-king-peter-fitzek

**Yes, there are crazy people who discover a hint of truth hear and there; yes, Mr. Fitzek might have something legitimate due to history's errors, but is not going to work out. Mr. Fitzek is a nut. 

We'll be stuck in this economic slump for years, economists say

 https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/24/economy/us-recession-nabe/index.html 

Powell set to deliver ‘profoundly consequential’ speech, changing how the Fed views inflation

 https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/24/powell-set-to-deliver-profoundly-consequential-speech-changing-how-the-fed-views-inflation.html

Massive stone structures in Saudi Arabia may be some of oldest monuments in the world

 https://www.livescience.com/mysterious-stone-structures-saudi-arabia-oldest.html

Trading In Your Dollars for Fedcoin

 https://www.investorsalley.com/trading-in-your-dollars-for-fedcoin-article-miller/

Nursing home COVID-19 death tolls reveal America's shameful elder-care crisis

 https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/nursing-home-covid-19-death-tolls-reveal-america-s-shameful-ncna1237023

Radio Broadcaster Fired After Racial Description of Kamala Harris

 https://www.westernjournal.com/radio-broadcaster-fired-racial-description-kamala-harris/

Joe Rogan: Twitter is Going to Be Like Blockbuster Video

 https://youtu.be/PRLaU2-TTW8

Wait...if a corporation is a person by legal definition then we cannot criticism them? The United States Government has a corporation that it borrows against 

https://www.ecosia.org/search?q=UNITED+STATES+OF+AMERICA+CORPORATION&addon=chrome&addonversion=3.2.0

note that it might just be Washington DC but the implication is the same when the law enforcement entities invloved are concerned. 

Be careful what you define, it can be used against you (or me.)....

tonyotag blog programming note

 tonyotag blog programming note. There is a paper coming from me soon as a deflation based universal basic income approach that allows the monetary and/or fiscal source of money to distribute to the population based on deflation and nominal GDP rather than other wealth metrics. The model does allow other wealth metrics to be used to get the payments up to a sinifigant level.

IRS to distribute tax refund interest checks to taxpayers who filed 2019 returns on time

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/irs-distribute-tax-refund-interest-125313057.html

This is America saying F-You to its own citizens. It is better for the Federal Goverment ot keep such money to ballance or surplus the budget. 


Emergency PSA - The End of YouTube in Australia

 https://youtu.be/zj2r948rUkQ

I signed the petition:  http://chng.it/XGmZV4HQKX


This kind of targeting was predicted decades ago. See the move NETWORK: https://youtu.be/1cSGvqQHpjs

AND 

the 1951 law invention secrecy act

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invention_Secrecy_Act

that has helped many inventors be executed in their homes for making something "too significant"

Thursday, August 20, 2020

Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Monday, August 17, 2020

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Liz OuYang on Census Sabotage

https://fair.org/home/liz-ouyang-on-census-sabotage/

The Reason Kamala Harris Flip-Flops on Medicare For All! [Electoral Map Update]

 https://youtu.be/MZVQNW0s5c0


**VP candidate is power seeker. K. Harris choice by Biden did flip NC from Biden to toss up bias towards trump per polling on https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Saturday, August 15, 2020

We Are In The Middle Of A Stock Market Bubble...And Just Don't Know I

 https://youtu.be/S645Pu0xRoo


Incorrect; Money is like the sea, its waves crash upon the shoreline making bubbles of industry. 

Overall, the money and market power does change and employ others via "trickle down" effect; however, such effects cannot stand the test of finance and the power of velocity of money. 


Citi’s $900 Million ‘Clerical Error’ Is Worst Wall Street Bungle in a Long Time

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/citi-900-million-blunder-raises-001242255.html

Friday, August 14, 2020

A 17-Year-Old From Connecticut Is Saving Honey Bees

 https://www.forbes.com/sites/kevinanderton/2020/08/11/a-17-year-old-from-connecticut-is-saving-honey-bees/#109327e629f6

Monday, August 10, 2020

Dwarf planet Ceres is an ocean world: study

 https://phys.org/news/2020-08-dwarf-planet-ceres-ocean-world.html

Uber and Lyft must classify drivers as employees, judge rules, in blow to gig economy

 https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2020/aug/10/uber-lyft-ruling-california-judge

Amazon may take over old JCPenneys and Sears to try and speed up deliveries

 https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/10/business/amazon-malls-sears-jcpenney-simon-property/index.html

*Bezos Doing more Mergers and Aqusitions


The Federal Reserve’s New Inflation Target Redefines The Meaning Of Inflation

 https://www.forbes.com/sites/johntamny/2020/08/09/the-federal-reserves-new-inflation-target-is-insulting-and-backwards/#aff9d8b3709a

Black male leaders warn Biden ‘will lose’ election if he doesn't name Black female running mate

 https://www.foxnews.com/politics/black-male-leaders-biden-election-black-female-running-mate

Does Trump’s Executive Order Mean There’s No $1,200 Second Stimulus Check Coming?

 https://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2020/08/10/does-trumps-executive-order-mean-theres-no-second-stimulus-check-coming/#750cdcd81d71

Lebanese government quits following Beirut port explosion

 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/10/lebanese-pm-to-resign-after-more-than-a-third-of-cabinet-quits

Krystal and Saagar: Wall Street SHOWERS Love On Biden As TYT Denied Press Creds At DNC

 https://youtu.be/7tL-4UKeb4k

**I, tonyotag, have a probability to not vote for Biden; I probably will vote green party this year (2020.) 

Sunday, August 9, 2020

Coronavirus stimulus: Romney and other GOP senators propose extending extra unemployment benefits through 2020

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-stimulus-gop-senators-unemployment-benefits-151254420.html

Sorry for the repost

 Sorry for the reposing of many posts recently. I, tonyotag, am getting used to a new blogger.com format. 

Porter's 5 Forces

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/porter.asp


In Context of the dominant families and portfolios of Earth:


Porter's five forces are:


1. Competition in the industry
Being human (or of some other intellegence that requires Earth's resources) (correlation to similar resource gathering process per portfolio analysis)


2. Potential of new entrants into the industry
Sex and propagation (having children and successful genetic linage) 


3. Power of suppliers
Self supply and not rely on trade versus always reliant on trade velocity

4. Power of customers
Taking or giving back to the Earth/nature?

5. Threat of substitute products
Able to leave the planet? Able to leave the solar system? Able to leave the galaxy? Able to leave the universe? 

Why the Founding Fathers would want us all to have fast Internet

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-the-founding-fathers-would-want-us-all-to-have-fast-internet-114817838.html

Saturday, August 8, 2020

America's Social Security crisis is getting worse amid the coronavirus pandemic

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/social-security-crisis-pandemic-114848170.html

Sheila Bair: The danger of allowing banks to artificially boost capital ratios

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bair-the-danger-of-allowing-banks-to-artificially-boost-capital-ratios-160415696.html

Friday, August 7, 2020

Amazon’s Market Power to Be Investigated by New York AG

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-market-power-investigated-york-181030742.html

Krystal and Saagar: Police Say Instigator Of Minneapolis Violence Was White Supremacist

https://youtu.be/eYpALmEac6U

***Not outside the state; just inside the state white supremacists

2020 Presidental Electoral Map (08/02/2020)

I will start to publish biweekly in mid-September. At least Monthly until August or September 2020. I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.

The map below is reflective of recent polling from realcearpolitics.com

If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 317 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.

I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.

States that are too close to call are
Wisconsin
Ohio
Georgia
Texas (Truly too hard to call; definitely needs more polling)
Nevada


States that would lean or vote for Biden
North Carolina
Virginia
Maine
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Minnesota
Florida

States that would lean or vote for Trump:
Iowa
Missouri


There is a strong mix of who to vote for or with in the states that are toss-up; especially in (high value state) Texas. There needs to be more polling in these toss-up states.

The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout.

The narrative has changed due to more economic data that has come out about quarter 1 and some quarter 2 being less than favorable. It is true that the savings rate is higher and the economy could come back; however, this will reduce possibilities of options for the future.

The true testament of Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a real race (to the bottom, again, just like 2016 election cycle.)


Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html