I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has placed a more dire clock for the election on both parties.
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 351 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
States that are too close to call are
Florida
Michigan
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Ohio
Georgia
Texas
****This is too many states to call too close to call if Biden wants to win. Many of the states do eventually vote for Biden...but Trump has timing on his hands.
States that would lean or vote for Biden
New Hampshire
Wisconsin
Arizona
Nevada
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
Iowa
--
The numbers are:
biden 253
trump 131
toss up 154
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no toss up
biden 351
trump 185
toss up 2 (ne and me electoral college votes are not evaluated)
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Biden has secured more states via polling since last prediction. If Biden keeps moving positive polling in his direction it is more than likely to win election.
The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout.
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next.
The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency.
Biden has lost his no toss up's lead and such projection means that Trump still has an opportunity to win a loser's election (the loser is the Democratic and Republican parties.) The winner of the election will get more debt than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
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