https://youtu.be/wKNdghtrIvM
***ROMUniverse is screwed.
Saturday, February 29, 2020
Friday, February 28, 2020
The Marketer's Target
https://youtu.be/jUofN4nWwZs
phrases that induce a way to track human behavior AND enforce the strategy behind it.
phrases that induce a way to track human behavior AND enforce the strategy behind it.
Why the Silent Spread of Coronavirus Might Actually Be a Good Sign
https://slate.com/technology/2020/02/coronavirus-silent-spread-actually-good-sign.html
*** I, tonyotag, agree with this article. This is a must read about Coronavirus.
Thursday, February 27, 2020
South Carolina Primary 2020 Predictions
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top SOUTH CAROLINA candidates
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top SOUTH CAROLINA candidates
Biden: 20-35% of the vote; about 50-75% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 10% or less of the delegates
Warren: 10% or less of the delegates
Klobuchar: no delegates
Sanders winning an overwhelming number of delegates in the past 3 primary and caucus elections is now at steak. Sanders has a chance of losing the lead to Biden. South Carolina's polling has plenty of room for error; however, the south in general is primarily more conservative. The culture of the South (especially rural areas) is slower information assimilation (not intelligence) of the voters. Habits differ geographically, this is always true relative to the technology and reach of information at hand. Biden and the democratic establishment has an upper-hand of this info.**
**NOTE: The recent polling spike for Biden is evidence of the Southern Stragety that Biden (and maybe Bloomberg might be employing.)
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/27/2020
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-6824.html
IMAGE
Sanders: 20-25% of the vote about 30-60% of the delegates
Steyer: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote
Buttigieg: 10% or less of the delegates
Warren: 10% or less of the delegates
Klobuchar: no delegates
Sanders winning an overwhelming number of delegates in the past 3 primary and caucus elections is now at steak. Sanders has a chance of losing the lead to Biden. South Carolina's polling has plenty of room for error; however, the south in general is primarily more conservative. The culture of the South (especially rural areas) is slower information assimilation (not intelligence) of the voters. Habits differ geographically, this is always true relative to the technology and reach of information at hand. Biden and the democratic establishment has an upper-hand of this info.**
**NOTE: The recent polling spike for Biden is evidence of the Southern Stragety that Biden (and maybe Bloomberg might be employing.)
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/27/2020
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/sc/south_carolina_democratic_presidential_primary-6824.html
IMAGE
Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Vultures: the acid-puking, plague-busting heroes of the ecosystem - Kenny Coogan
https://youtu.be/1WIUuGCIfcc
Monday, February 24, 2020
Scientists discover first known animal that doesn't breathe
https://www.livescience.com/first-non-breathing-animal.html
Trump faces ‘black swan’ threat to the economy and reelection
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/24/trump-threat-coronavirus-reelection-economy-117272
Videos
Bernie Reveals Recent Conversations With Obama
https://youtu.be/ZvkzTFwffHw
----
Chris Matthews Makes Worst Analogy Of All Time After Bernie Wins Nevada
https://youtu.be/s9W-UxoIY-Y
----
MSNBC Contributor Calls Black Female Bernie Supporters 'Misfits'https://youtu.be/iCNEQ4lQWVw
-----
Cenk Uygur PUMMELS Christy Smith In HEATED Debate!
https://youtu.be/JgXXt5tfm8g
DELEGATE COUNT AND UPDATE (After Nevada)
See bottom of this post to see Final Nevada Democratic Caucus Results
Democratic race to the White House Delegate count
Sanders 45
Buttigieg 25
Biden 15
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
All other candidates have none
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
Bargaining power: Warren + Klobuchar + Biden = 30
OR
Bargaining power: Buttigieg + Biden + Warren + Klobuchar = 55
Sanders had a blowout in Nevada Caucuses where he received 24 Convention Delegates (40.5% of the state vote.)
Buttigieg only received 3 delegates in Nevada and Biden received 9.
.
I, tonyotag, will place out a prediction on Thursday 2/27/2020 about South Carolina polls and who will win or tie for placement. Furthermore, I will make a prediction about Super Tuesday on Monday 3/2/2020.
Right now Sanders is a clear front runner. Will Sanders be able to maintain support in South Carolina AND the following Super Tuesday? Unless the lead can be maintained and bargaining power with Democratic Convention is capped with more delegates, then Sanders is still vulnerable to the Bargaining power that all other major players have in getting Sanders to move over as the nominee. The recent news cycles saying the "will of the people" will be followed is not as advertised: Which people? Voters? Or Delegate Barganing AND super-delegate negotiations behind the scenes. Only, more state elections will provide more clarity before convention and nomination.
The real answer is also when will others who have no or low delegates drop out?
No new politicians have dropped out so far as of this posting.
---------------------
Nevada Caucus Results 2020
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nevada_democratic_caucus_results.html
Democratic race to the White House Delegate count
Sanders 45
Buttigieg 25
Biden 15
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
All other candidates have none
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
Bargaining power: Warren + Klobuchar + Biden = 30
OR
Bargaining power: Buttigieg + Biden + Warren + Klobuchar = 55
Sanders had a blowout in Nevada Caucuses where he received 24 Convention Delegates (40.5% of the state vote.)
Buttigieg only received 3 delegates in Nevada and Biden received 9.
.
I, tonyotag, will place out a prediction on Thursday 2/27/2020 about South Carolina polls and who will win or tie for placement. Furthermore, I will make a prediction about Super Tuesday on Monday 3/2/2020.
Right now Sanders is a clear front runner. Will Sanders be able to maintain support in South Carolina AND the following Super Tuesday? Unless the lead can be maintained and bargaining power with Democratic Convention is capped with more delegates, then Sanders is still vulnerable to the Bargaining power that all other major players have in getting Sanders to move over as the nominee. The recent news cycles saying the "will of the people" will be followed is not as advertised: Which people? Voters? Or Delegate Barganing AND super-delegate negotiations behind the scenes. Only, more state elections will provide more clarity before convention and nomination.
The real answer is also when will others who have no or low delegates drop out?
No new politicians have dropped out so far as of this posting.
---------------------
Nevada Caucus Results 2020
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nevada_democratic_caucus_results.html
Sunday, February 23, 2020
Howard Dean: Not ready to say Bernie Sanders is going to be nominee
https://youtu.be/zEDxk2VTsb4
*** Title is disingenuous to the focus of the article CNN displays in this video. No candidate is winner until it is all over at Democratic Convention
*** Title is disingenuous to the focus of the article CNN displays in this video. No candidate is winner until it is all over at Democratic Convention
Hill Reporter: Internal Pete memo reveals terror over inevitable Sanders' win
https://youtu.be/sJAFPSfnOtQ
Bernie Sanders Wins Nevada Democratic Caucuses, Cementing Front-Runner Status | Victory Speech
https://youtu.be/HUH09gk4wpM
****Results are Still to early to tell; although it looks promising. So far, CNN reporting about 50% of precincts reporting and realclearpolitics.com is reporting appx. 60% of delegates reporting.
*I, tonyotag will release a results when 80,90, or 95% reporting throughout the state in question respectively. I feel this may be Monday or Tuesday next week...maybe Wednesday. [Week of 2/24/2020]
Krystal Ball: If Dems steal the nomination from Bernie there will be hell to pay
https://youtu.be/Vl8TqtyXHro
Saturday, February 22, 2020
Supernova in the Sky (Star Explosion)
https://www.newsweek.com/new-bill-would-give-nearly-every-californian-1000-month-similar-andrew-yangs-freedom-dividend-1488547
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/21/business/economy/fed-rate-recession-congress-stimulus.html
*This should be federal not state based; Why have a sales tax to give directly to the people?
https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/22/politics/bernie-sanders-2020/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/21/business/economy/fed-rate-recession-congress-stimulus.html
*They have already been doing this anyway.
https://www.nbc4i.com/news/local-news/betelgeuse-has-dimmed-suddenly-perplexing-astronomers/
https://earthsky.org/astronomy-essentials/how-far-is-betelgeuse
****Due to estimated distances; if the supernova did happen then it happened in Earth Year approximately 1100 to 1407 AD. (Yes it takes that long for the light to travel to Earth to be seen in Year 2020)
Do not trust the title! Coronavirus did come from a labratory worker
https://nypost.com/2020/02/22/dont-buy-chinas-story-the-coronavirus-may-have-leaked-from-a-lab/
Read the Article, do not trust the title of the article. it only mocks the notion of the coronavirus came from an animal to human transmission. The Article confirms, or at least the notion of the notion of that the virus came from a lab worker.
Read the Article, do not trust the title of the article. it only mocks the notion of the coronavirus came from an animal to human transmission. The Article confirms, or at least the notion of the notion of that the virus came from a lab worker.
Eddie Bravo Understands Republican "Family Values" Now | Joe Rogan
Yes, it has been always about family values. Who's family and who's values are to dominate over others?
https://youtu.be/UapXSpruEGw
Friday, February 21, 2020
Funkhouser's accidental text on purpose
https://youtu.be/54oC6D1CVFY
Here is a plausible hypothetical (Just Saying:)
*"Hey [Trump,] how about running for POTUS this time and actually make a difference in the world."
**In context, Trump received this text in 2012 or 2014 after 2012 election day; then actually ran for Office in the 2016 Election cycle. The text was sent by Trump's mistress or friend that was joking (whom Trump though it really was from his wife Melania) because she was mad for some reason. Melania initially hearing the news of Trump bid for Republican ticket in the 2016 race was ok with the idea due to some of the legal issues the family was facing, etc...
Maybe, just maybe, America is suffering because of an "Accidental Text."
[Note that the brackets where Trump's name is is a different noun or adjective that the friend or mistress would have known what Melania calls Trump.]
Thursday, February 20, 2020
SHOCK POLL: Sanders leads with African-American voters for the first time
https://youtu.be/8IOQkk7z3Fo
Trump offered WikiLeaks' Julian Assange a pardon if he covered up Russian hacking of Democrats, lawyer tells court
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/02/19/trump-offered-julian-assange-pardon-for-covering-up-russian-hacking.html
Huff Post political reporter Daniel Marans: Sanders team warns Dem party about convention rigging
https://youtu.be/HRjS6OXeOh0
Nevada Primary 2020 Predictions
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top NEVADA candidates
Sanders: 50% or more of the delegates; a clear winner of Nevada
Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 10% or less of the delegates
Warren: 10% or less of the delegates
Klobuchar: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote
Steyer: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote
Sanders winning New Hampshire and popular vote of Iowa helps boot name recognition in Nevada. Sanders is the clear front runner as multiple polls have sent signals that Sanders will be getting 28 to 35% or more of the vote. Biden, Buttigieg and Warren might tie or be low on the delegate count if they reach 15% of the vote, respectvily. Klobuchar and Steyer might get a delegate, but would be too close to call at this point of the polling; they may get no delegates from Nevada.
**Keep in mind more candidates are dropping out of the race, therefore more voters to have less options. Lets keep watching after South Caroina..Super Tuesday and Bloomberg's showing in some polls in some states to be at or slightly above 15%
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/20/2020
**Note
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-6866.html
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top NEVADA candidates
Sanders: 50% or more of the delegates; a clear winner of Nevada
Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 10% or less of the delegates
Warren: 10% or less of the delegates
Klobuchar: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote
Steyer: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote
Sanders winning New Hampshire and popular vote of Iowa helps boot name recognition in Nevada. Sanders is the clear front runner as multiple polls have sent signals that Sanders will be getting 28 to 35% or more of the vote. Biden, Buttigieg and Warren might tie or be low on the delegate count if they reach 15% of the vote, respectvily. Klobuchar and Steyer might get a delegate, but would be too close to call at this point of the polling; they may get no delegates from Nevada.
**Keep in mind more candidates are dropping out of the race, therefore more voters to have less options. Lets keep watching after South Caroina..Super Tuesday and Bloomberg's showing in some polls in some states to be at or slightly above 15%
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/20/2020
**Note
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-6866.html
Articles (Coronavirus spike mapped for vaccine development)
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/20/cramer-on-debate-wealth-was-under-fire-as-sanders-sounded-communist.html
https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/20/politics/russia-georgia-hacking/index.html
https://nypost.com/2020/02/19/spacex-will-launch-private-citizens-into-orbit-around-earth/
https://www.chemistryworld.com/news/detailed-3d-coronavirus-spike-map-offers-hope-for-vaccine-development/4011226.article
https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/20/politics/russia-georgia-hacking/index.html
https://nypost.com/2020/02/19/spacex-will-launch-private-citizens-into-orbit-around-earth/
https://www.chemistryworld.com/news/detailed-3d-coronavirus-spike-map-offers-hope-for-vaccine-development/4011226.article
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Sunday, February 16, 2020
Why Finland's schools outperform most others across the developed world | 7.30
https://youtu.be/7xCe2m0kiSg
Delegate Count and Update
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
Democratic race to the White House Delegate count
Buttigieg 22
Sanders 21
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
Biden 6
All other candidates have none
Democratic race to the White House Delegate count
Buttigieg 22
Sanders 21
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
Biden 6
All other candidates have none
Bargaining power: Warren + Klobuchar + Biden = 21
Buttigieg and Sanders are virtually tied and recent polls suggest Sanders and Buttigieg tiening in Nevada. Biden might win or tie in South Carolina with Sanders, polls show.
I, tonyotag, will place out a prediction on Thursday 2/20/2020 about Nevada polls and who will win or tie for placement.
Right now the real power is third place when candidate drops out then endorses one of the leaders. Will Warren or Biden endorse Sanders or Buttigieg? It really depends on how the voting happens in later states. I predict there will not be a clear winner of the Democratic Primaries until larger delegate count states make produce a vote...late spring: Mid April or May. There is a chance this might be dragged out to the Democratic Convention.
Buttigieg and Sanders are virtually tied and recent polls suggest Sanders and Buttigieg tiening in Nevada. Biden might win or tie in South Carolina with Sanders, polls show.
I, tonyotag, will place out a prediction on Thursday 2/20/2020 about Nevada polls and who will win or tie for placement.
Right now the real power is third place when candidate drops out then endorses one of the leaders. Will Warren or Biden endorse Sanders or Buttigieg? It really depends on how the voting happens in later states. I predict there will not be a clear winner of the Democratic Primaries until larger delegate count states make produce a vote...late spring: Mid April or May. There is a chance this might be dragged out to the Democratic Convention.
Percentages also will converge when candidates drop out at well:
Yang
Deval Patrick
Bennet
In total all three had... Yang only 4% in Nevada. These voters will now have to choose another candidate.
Nationally maybe only 5% would vote for Yang, Patrick, or Bennet. It is now possible that one candidate will rise when more voters are left to choose another candidate (or just not vote at all.)
Mysterious radio signal from space is repeating every 16 days
https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/11/world/repeating-fast-radio-burst-pattern-scn-trnd/index.html
BERNIE SANDERS interrupts rally to give his own water to person in crowd in need of EMT FULL REMARKS
https://youtu.be/mPKk6vQm73E
The legend of Annapurna, Hindu goddess of nourishment - Antara Raychaudhuri & Iseult Gillespie
https://youtu.be/ztoUaJFEi8M
Saturday, February 15, 2020
Abby Martin SUES After Her Free Speech Rights Taken Away In BDS Case
https://youtu.be/V5K0UG-1dko
BDS laws per contract versus money in politics. If money in politics is freedom of speech then the courts (on a conservative level at of the Supreme Court Of the United States) must defend pro boycott choices of individuals (including corporations as people legal status.) If boycotts are illegal then freedom of speech should go away... hmmmm..... I guess this is a conflict that can be exploited at the ballot box.
For the record I am pro-choice of boycotts AND pro-money in politics.
BDS laws per contract versus money in politics. If money in politics is freedom of speech then the courts (on a conservative level at of the Supreme Court Of the United States) must defend pro boycott choices of individuals (including corporations as people legal status.) If boycotts are illegal then freedom of speech should go away... hmmmm..... I guess this is a conflict that can be exploited at the ballot box.
For the record I am pro-choice of boycotts AND pro-money in politics.
My logic for this is that if money is taken away from political thinking then congress cannot appropriate funds in a way that would maximize the profits. Unfortunately, there is no to little policy about the equivalence of wealth except tax and spend policies that labor a goal that everyone wants...wealth. So, the argument of envy thy neighbor's wealth is itself defeating as it drives a wedge away from positive management solutions that a community/society/nation needs. What America lacks is good managers in key places making good polices.
This subject is quite dynamic as it can form over generations to create a giant bad solution that looks good to qualify for public policy. It is my opinion that there are five to seven variables that are similar enough for the average voter (80% of voters to assume the 80/20 rule) that will vote on. It is unfortunate that this is hard to communicate in such brevity; however, it is something that must be done to enforce the ideals of good public polices should happen to become.
Sanders disavows attacks on culinary union, saying internet is a 'strange world'
https://youtu.be/43q5BDfOf7E
Coronavirus COVID19 Truth china is hiding from the world
https://youtu.be/RvaL4-B5s6Q
is the virus an excuse for public-private partnership corruption. did the virus come from a laboratory? Were guns taken before the virus release? Yes, what rights in china is for the slavery for humanity. And Communism was a product of Europe, imported into China (late 1940's-1950's) and placed onto unsuspecting village farmers only looking to cooperate at a local level.
So, give up for the sake of releif today for tomorrow. That is the game that thugs start to get you into their order; not for trade, not for cooperation, not for friendship, only and only for usury.
is the virus an excuse for public-private partnership corruption. did the virus come from a laboratory? Were guns taken before the virus release? Yes, what rights in china is for the slavery for humanity. And Communism was a product of Europe, imported into China (late 1940's-1950's) and placed onto unsuspecting village farmers only looking to cooperate at a local level.
So, give up for the sake of releif today for tomorrow. That is the game that thugs start to get you into their order; not for trade, not for cooperation, not for friendship, only and only for usury.
Friday, February 14, 2020
Establishment Dems Hold 'Stop Cenk Uygur' Meeting
https://youtu.be/p6Gof36Pe8E
*Be careful of fixing problems with antiquated technology
*Be careful of fixing problems with antiquated technology
Tuesday, February 11, 2020
Andrew Yang Ends His 2020 Presidential Bid
https://www.thedailybeast.com/andrew-yang-ends-his-2020-presidential-bid
Every Prosecutor On Roger Case Quits In Protest After DOJ Lightens Sentencing Recommendation | MSNBC
https://youtu.be/dAt2E_9a1XE
Monday, February 10, 2020
World’s largest Syrian refugee camp has developed its own economy
https://youtu.be/Dzp8pvc1r1c
Pipeline builders do not like to hear that the land is still valuable.
Pipeline builders do not like to hear that the land is still valuable.
Sunday, February 9, 2020
Trump Approval Hits Record High As He's Acquitted In Impeachment Failure
https://youtu.be/2jOdTrU-Kj4
Why have an acquittal on record? Because there is a dirty deal behind the scenes of the Republican and Democratic parties. What it is exactly I do not know; but the only logical reason is a dirty deal happened to sell the American people out. The only question is to whom?
Why have an acquittal on record? Because there is a dirty deal behind the scenes of the Republican and Democratic parties. What it is exactly I do not know; but the only logical reason is a dirty deal happened to sell the American people out. The only question is to whom?
Companies Are Doing "Background Checks" on People's Social Media w/Andrew Doyle | Joe Rogan
https://youtu.be/GB78tVKLIi0
New Hampshire Primary 2020 Predictions
NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY PREDICTIONS
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top NEW HAMPSHIRE candidates
Sanders: 23 to 30% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 15 to 23% of the delegates
Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates
Warren: 10 to 15% f the delegates
*essentially, Biden and Warren are tied.
Klobuchar: about 10 to 15% of the delegates
All others get no delegates and more candidates will retire their campaigns by the end of the week OR right after the New Hampshire Primary on 2/11/2020. It really depends on attrition of the candidates. Since Iowa, Buttigieg has risen in the polling that constitutes a focus or candidate highlight for voters, this may play well for Buttigieg in future primaries (not just New Hampshire.) Sanders has an overwhelming New Hampshire win.
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/09/2020
**Note that this prediction is 48 hours away from New Hampshire primary on 2/11/2020. Polls may happen that change the prediction.
SOURCE: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top NEW HAMPSHIRE candidates
Sanders: 23 to 30% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 15 to 23% of the delegates
Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates
Warren: 10 to 15% f the delegates
*essentially, Biden and Warren are tied.
Klobuchar: about 10 to 15% of the delegates
All others get no delegates and more candidates will retire their campaigns by the end of the week OR right after the New Hampshire Primary on 2/11/2020. It really depends on attrition of the candidates. Since Iowa, Buttigieg has risen in the polling that constitutes a focus or candidate highlight for voters, this may play well for Buttigieg in future primaries (not just New Hampshire.) Sanders has an overwhelming New Hampshire win.
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/09/2020
**Note that this prediction is 48 hours away from New Hampshire primary on 2/11/2020. Polls may happen that change the prediction.
SOURCE: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html
Did The For Profit Press Create Election Security (w/ Karen Kornbluh)
https://youtu.be/PkK1TBbn3jw
*Nationalism does have a purpose: to destroy the cooperation of the world. Obama had that.
*Nationalism does have a purpose: to destroy the cooperation of the world. Obama had that.
Saturday, February 8, 2020
Garrett Reisman Lived at the Bottom of the Ocean for 2 Weeks | Joe Rogan
https://youtu.be/wMyRjES1lII
Have the Boomers Pinched Their Children’s Futures? - with Lord David Willetts (Great Britain)
https://youtu.be/ZuXzvjBYW8A
Is this the same in the rest of the Western World. I, tonyotag, says yes; real estate is now a political-economic topic.
Is this the same in the rest of the Western World. I, tonyotag, says yes; real estate is now a political-economic topic.
IOWA CAUCUS 2020 [UPDATE]
As part of statistics, it is important to review the prediction data with the actual data.
As predictions go in a dynamic environment that the Iowa Caucuses are then I guess that I did pretty good considering the polling data at the time.
My prediction is in brackets [] and the following results are in normal text.
resource: https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/iowa-caucuses-live-results-coverage-2020/index.html
GRAPHIC ABOVE IS FROM CNN [ cnn.com ]
Top IOWA candidates
Sanders: [20 to 25% of the delegates]
is in a statistical dead heat with Buttigieg. Sanders has 26.1% of the vote.
my prediction was short by a few percentage points but probably within a margin of error.
Biden: [18 to 25% of the delegates]
The polling was over-counting a win for Biden, it is my opinion that the pollsters are averaging out historical polls for current statistics (more than what realclearpolitics.com does in its reporting.)
biden is forth statewide with 15.8% of the vote.
Buttigieg: [15 to 19% of the delegates]
I was thinking Buttigieg would come in 3rd pace as the polling predicted.
is in a statistical dead heat with Sanders. Buttigeg has 26.2% of the vote.
my prediction was short; statisticians and pollsters will need to study why the polls were short before the election. (This is probably a need for better outreach.)
Warren: [if any to 18% of the delegates]
Warren was higher than predicted as 3rd place with 18.0% of the vote. To my surprise, I predicted the percentage correctly on the upper bound, I though she would only get 13 or 15%. Many counties that voted for Bernie also had Warren in 2nd place.
Klobuchar [is a notable rising underdog with no delegates]
It is a surprise that she made more than a few percentage points. Still in 5th place; she received 12.6% of Iowa vote
-----------
Note that the polls were slightly accurate about the momentum of the campaign. Only Biden and Buttigieg polls were incorrect. Was this name recognition or shyness for polling on the part of the voters? (Being that many voters saw name recognition more so than what they would vote for; and, Buttigieg voters were shy in polling or had a poor outreach by pollsters?) Nevertheless, it is important to recognize that even the election process of Iowa caucuses were called into question about the reporting of results. It should be noted that New Hampshire election will solidify more results AND delegates matter more when the vote is this split up (especially when the candidate receives less than 50% of the vote.)
As predictions go in a dynamic environment that the Iowa Caucuses are then I guess that I did pretty good considering the polling data at the time.
My prediction is in brackets [] and the following results are in normal text.
resource: https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/iowa-caucuses-live-results-coverage-2020/index.html
GRAPHIC ABOVE IS FROM CNN [ cnn.com ]
Top IOWA candidates
Sanders: [20 to 25% of the delegates]
is in a statistical dead heat with Buttigieg. Sanders has 26.1% of the vote.
my prediction was short by a few percentage points but probably within a margin of error.
Biden: [18 to 25% of the delegates]
The polling was over-counting a win for Biden, it is my opinion that the pollsters are averaging out historical polls for current statistics (more than what realclearpolitics.com does in its reporting.)
biden is forth statewide with 15.8% of the vote.
Buttigieg: [15 to 19% of the delegates]
I was thinking Buttigieg would come in 3rd pace as the polling predicted.
is in a statistical dead heat with Sanders. Buttigeg has 26.2% of the vote.
my prediction was short; statisticians and pollsters will need to study why the polls were short before the election. (This is probably a need for better outreach.)
Warren: [if any to 18% of the delegates]
Warren was higher than predicted as 3rd place with 18.0% of the vote. To my surprise, I predicted the percentage correctly on the upper bound, I though she would only get 13 or 15%. Many counties that voted for Bernie also had Warren in 2nd place.
Klobuchar [is a notable rising underdog with no delegates]
It is a surprise that she made more than a few percentage points. Still in 5th place; she received 12.6% of Iowa vote
-----------
Note that the polls were slightly accurate about the momentum of the campaign. Only Biden and Buttigieg polls were incorrect. Was this name recognition or shyness for polling on the part of the voters? (Being that many voters saw name recognition more so than what they would vote for; and, Buttigieg voters were shy in polling or had a poor outreach by pollsters?) Nevertheless, it is important to recognize that even the election process of Iowa caucuses were called into question about the reporting of results. It should be noted that New Hampshire election will solidify more results AND delegates matter more when the vote is this split up (especially when the candidate receives less than 50% of the vote.)
6 Rules From 6 of the World's Top Investors
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/11/6-lessons-top-6-investors.asp
Friday, February 7, 2020
Thursday, February 6, 2020
Monday, February 3, 2020
Coronavirus is going to ‘paralyze China’ — El-Erian warns against buying dips
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/03/el-erian-says-coronavirus-to-paralyze-china-dont-buy-stock-dips.html
Palestinians cut all ties with US and Israel over "arrogance" of Jared Kushner’s “peace” deal
https://www.salon.com/2020/02/03/palestinians-cut-all-ties-with-us-and-israel-over-arrogance-of-jared-kushners-peace-deal/
An artist wheeled 99 smartphones around in a wagon to create fake traffic jams on Google Maps
https://www.businessinsider.com/google-maps-traffic-jam-99-smartphones-wagon-2020-2
Sunday, February 2, 2020
Iowa Caucus Predictions (and blog prediction statement)
Hi:
In these predictions I try to use accurate polling averages and the rules of the state to predict who wins what in the primary. This year (2020) the Democratic primary is the the only primary that is really running. It would be interesting if Trump loses multiple cacuses anyway.
All polling data used will be (as long as the site is running correct numbers) is https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
I, tonyotag, will also try to be as accurate as possible. My objective is percentage of the vote, not necessary the delegate count up front. However, the delegates do matter to become the party's nominee. Additionally, the prediction will be targeted for the Sunday preceding the primary vote OR the previous day, OR (not the target of but) the day of before official totals come out. Finally, on days of multiple states, the blog may become long and polling data might become very scattered; I, tonyotag, will do my best for the most probable prediction that is as scientific as possible.
It is hereby that I state that Bernie Sanders is my preferred candidate; however, I, tonyotag, will stay as scientific to the polling AND demographic shifts as allows.
IOWA CAUCUS PREDICTION
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top IOWA candidates
Sanders: 20 to 25% of the delegates
Biden: 18 to 25% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 15 to 19% of the delegates
Warren: if any to 18% of the delegates
Klobuchar is a notable rising underdog with no delegates
All others get no delegates and more candidates will retire their campaigns by the end of the week OR right after the New Hampshire Primary on 2/11/2020. It really depends on attrition of the candidates.
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST:
SOURCE: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-6731.html
****Sorry for the image size, I will try to make it more concise in the next prediction (New Hampshire primary)
In these predictions I try to use accurate polling averages and the rules of the state to predict who wins what in the primary. This year (2020) the Democratic primary is the the only primary that is really running. It would be interesting if Trump loses multiple cacuses anyway.
All polling data used will be (as long as the site is running correct numbers) is https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
I, tonyotag, will also try to be as accurate as possible. My objective is percentage of the vote, not necessary the delegate count up front. However, the delegates do matter to become the party's nominee. Additionally, the prediction will be targeted for the Sunday preceding the primary vote OR the previous day, OR (not the target of but) the day of before official totals come out. Finally, on days of multiple states, the blog may become long and polling data might become very scattered; I, tonyotag, will do my best for the most probable prediction that is as scientific as possible.
It is hereby that I state that Bernie Sanders is my preferred candidate; however, I, tonyotag, will stay as scientific to the polling AND demographic shifts as allows.
IOWA CAUCUS PREDICTION
Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories
Sources:
https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus
https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020
Top IOWA candidates
Sanders: 20 to 25% of the delegates
Biden: 18 to 25% of the delegates
Buttigieg: 15 to 19% of the delegates
Warren: if any to 18% of the delegates
Klobuchar is a notable rising underdog with no delegates
All others get no delegates and more candidates will retire their campaigns by the end of the week OR right after the New Hampshire Primary on 2/11/2020. It really depends on attrition of the candidates.
IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST:
SOURCE: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-6731.html
****Sorry for the image size, I will try to make it more concise in the next prediction (New Hampshire primary)
CAMPAIGN 2020: Michael Moore trashes DNC, Bloomberg while stumping for Bernie Sanders
https://youtu.be/Zb3D5BlGdcA
Saturday, February 1, 2020
A word on manipulative corporate garbage from LG
https://youtu.be/qi7ThAdSBX8
yes, people empowerment is a better political argument (even though you are not trying to be a politician.) Many companies put commercials together like this because of losing customer loyalty. Commercials like this make me think twice before buying things from this manufacturer again. (although what is the alternative these days??)
yes, people empowerment is a better political argument (even though you are not trying to be a politician.) Many companies put commercials together like this because of losing customer loyalty. Commercials like this make me think twice before buying things from this manufacturer again. (although what is the alternative these days??)
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