https://youtu.be/ajavsMbCapY
Saturday, October 31, 2020
NEW Sassy Justice with Fred Sassy | From South Park's Trey Parker & Matt Stone w/ Peter Serafinowicz
https://youtu.be/9WfZuNceFDM
https://news.avclub.com/the-creators-of-south-park-launched-an-entire-deepfake-1845529116
Police In N.C. Arrest, Pepper Spray Protesters During March To Polls Event
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/31/929940404/police-in-n-c-arrest-pepper-spray-protesters-during-march-to-polls-event
Krystal and Saagar: Hunter's Business Partner SPEAKS OUT As Unprecedented Trump Graft Also Exposed
https://youtu.be/wXyCI04t7TE
Andrew Yang’s approach to solving problems | Saagar Enjeti | Yang Speaks
https://youtu.be/WWVXxvTLllY
Krystal and Saagar: Here’s The 6 MAPS Which Show How Biden Or Trump Will Win
https://youtu.be/FPGtYw_GyIs
Krystal and Saagar's WINNERS AND LOSERS: Tongass Forest, Trump, Mitch McConnell, And Jon Ossoff
https://youtu.be/S5tZ6WsWvJ8
"Pure Pique & Revenge" earns 5Pointz Whitewasher $6.75 Million Judgment
https://youtu.be/IN4KXb79VFQ
Oversold extreme suggests further weakness should be temporary: Canaccord's Dwyer
https://youtu.be/FzfD2p-fTcY
2020 Presidential AND SENATE Electoral Map (10/31/2020) [FINAL PREDICTION]
Today's posting based on real clear politics polling.
This is the last posting for prediction of the election. The election results will be posted, but I do not know when as this election could be highly contested.
I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
With less than one week to election day. This race is now almost decided with the poor performance of the both debates (by both Biden and Trump.) Biden did win both debates. Trump was ready in the second debate (the third debate scheduled) and could be the case due to the suspicion of that Trump was sick at the first debate.
What I have heard is the second debate was better than the first. The mute function that the committee has placed is just plain wrong and raw. It is the political split that is causing the candidates to act in a way that is rude. (Besides the fact that both Trump and Biden have ties to the global cabal network that has influenced their thinking rather than working for the American People.)
I will address both debates later. I, tonyotag, have not watched both debates due to many schedule conflicts. That is important due to my understanding is coming from news articles and my mother watching the debates. Of which, I, tonyotag, do plan to watch the debates and give my opinion, which will probably happen after the debate.
A new, conservative, supreme court justice was approved by the Senate. This may cause a Democratically led presidency and congress to vote in more justices to sit on SCOTUS. If so, that would be controversial. It is my prediction that 11 or 13 Justices might be sitting on SCOTUS by the end of the Biden presidency pending on Congressional election.
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 344 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
There are 2 to 3 states that are thin margin states and the State of Maine that has ranked choice voting. It is possible that this election will have a green candidate senator from Maine instead of a Democrat.
Georgia has a special primary election and is possible from polling that two democratic senators might come from Georgia.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
States that are too close to call are
(in parenthesis is leaning that direction)
North Carolina (democrat)
Pennsylvania (democrat)
Ohio (truly too close to call) (tie)
Wisconsin (democrat)
Florida (democrat)
Georgia (thin margin) (democrat)
Michigan (democrat)
Arizona (thin margin) (republican)
Iowa (democrat)
Texas (republican)
States that would lean or vote for Biden
Nevada
Minnesota
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
*polling not strong enough to decide a state for trump
--
The numbers are:
biden 232
trump 125
toss up 181
----
no toss up
biden 344
trump 174
toss up 20 (Ohio too close to call) (ne and me electoral college districts not evaluated)
****Keep in mind that Arizona and Georgia are thin margin polling and could be reverse in actual winning (AZ for Biden and GA for Trump.) Ohio is truly a coin flip and I, tonyotag, really do not know. Even if Biden lost all three states (AZ, GA, OH to Trump) Biden still has a high chance of getting more than 270 electoral votes.
----
If Biden has accurate polling per how the states count casted ballots then Biden will win the election. It is possible that Biden loses the election due to state's restrictions on voting; including but not limited to absentee and mail in ballots. Nationwide, mail in ballots are higher than previous years due to pandemic.
*[The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout. The Democratic party is not helping the situation due to taking green party candidates off multiple state ballots. It is important to maintain choice.]
*I have said this previously starred above. Overall, lets see what happens in the state of Maine with ranked choice voting. It will be worth studying the results of Maine votes as it could offer third party candidates more of a way to win. There is a chance that the green party candidate can cause a valid polling split of a three way tie. If so, then both the democratic and republican candidates are in trouble. If not the presidential election then at least the senate candidate.
[because of such polling standards that might reduce democratic and republican party majorities in the Senate race; I will track the senate race too.]
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released; and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next.
*[The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency. Trump obviously lost the debate. Biden just went par or bogey (golf scoring terms.) If debate performance continues to be this bad; it is likely that a third party candidate will get more votes than what the "cabal" is comfortable with.] As due to a low bar that Trump set for the office.
Biden was better in the second debate; however the muting of microphones is a huge concern about freedom of speech for the rest of us.
The sentiment generated by both political parties as well as covid-19 has increased the incentive for early voting. In my home state alone (North Carolina) about one-third to half the population has already voted. I plan for longer lines at the ballot box this year.
The winner of the election will get more debt (to GDP ratio) than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
***************************************************
2020 SENATE RACE PREDICTIONS AND POLL WATCH
For the Senate, I will not produce a map as only 1/3 of all senate seats are ever up for election every two years.
The Senate is 2 seats per state with 6 year terms.
It is the opinion of tonyotag that there should be an amendment to the constitution of the United States to up representation to three Senators per state with 6 year terms (election every two years.) Why do so? To gauge the parties and the will of the people better; better statistical averaging over a 12 or 18 year period.
All numbers are based on polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/create_your_own_senate_map.html
senate as counted with toss up
democrat 49
republican 45
toss up 6
senate as counted as no toss up
democrat 53**
republican 47**
**2 senate seats are contested in one state: ga1 and ga2 are hard to call
ga2 is a primary and looks like the winner will be democrat; a second election might happen where the margin of winning is thinner than predicted.
I, tonyotag, stand by my prediction of 51 democrat senate seat winners and 48 republican seat winners and 1 seat undecided pending second round election in ga2
States with consistent polling for one candidate:
Maine (democrat) (depends on ranked choice voting; green party candidate may have a chance to win the seat)
Minnesota (democrat)
Michigan (democrat)
*There are no republicans' seats that are guaranteed by polling; they are all too close to call
toss up Senate seats
North Carolina (democrat)
South Carolina (republican)
Georgia 1 (republican)
Georgia 2 (democrat) (primary, see note above)
Iowa (democrat)
Arizona (democrat)
Montana (republican)
********************************************************************************
Tonyotag's Presidential Election Map for 2020 Prediction:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
Friday, October 30, 2020
Krystal and Saagar: FINAL National Polls Roll In, Is It 2016 Or 2012 Again?
https://youtu.be/d9vqqP_8J6k
The Effects of the YouTube Recommended Algorithm w/The Social Dilemma's Tristan Harris
https://youtu.be/s5LOmeKuyMM
Thursday, October 29, 2020
[ECONOMIC PROPAGANDA ALERT] America just posted a record GDP growth rate. Now brace for the slowdown
https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/29/business/economy-gdp-jobs-covid/index.html
So the economy shrank appx 8.5%?
Lets use a basic index to see how much the economy grew or shrank in Q1 and Q2
100*(1-0.314)= x
100*(0.686) = x
The economy shrank to 68.6 per the index at par = 100 = x
quarter 2 =
x*(1+0.331) = y
x*(1.331) = y
68.6*1.331 = y
91.3066 = y
100 index - 91.3066 index at end of Q2 = 8.6934% since the end of Q4 2019 (as approximation from rounding.)
Wow. The economy Shrank. Lets see what Q3 numbers look like in comparison. How much growth would it take to get pack to par? appx 11.503% [there needs to be more stimulus]
1/(1-0.913066) = 1/0.086934 = 11.5029792716...= as an index as 11.503 rounded
so 91.3066*1.11... = 101.35... as an index as 1.35% growth and therefore is an incorrect but close enough number to go by. I, tonyotag, venture to say that Q3 did not grow at 11%. The economy truly shrank at a rate that was pitiful for 2020.
Polling places in Iowa are closing due to COVID-19, which could affect close races
https://thehill.com/changing-america/respect/accessibility/523372-polling-places-in-iowa-are-closing-due-to-covid-19
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
Hill Reporter: HISTORIC Early Vote In Florida Could Decide Next President
https://youtu.be/y0FIDbYYjU4
The length of the sell-off matters as much as the extent of the sell-off: Mohamed El-Erian
https://youtu.be/ceuJLDrUKZc
Tuesday, October 27, 2020
Monday, October 26, 2020
David Sirota: Why Does Biden Flack So Hard For Private Insurance Industry?
https://youtu.be/oX_CdtpnAZs
Krystal and Saagar: Biden Polls Seems Strong BUT Under Surface Youth Voters Of Color Revolt
https://youtu.be/h0Kfiah6Cok
**Maybe Trump was afraid of a 3rd party or primary challenge in 2020? [Especially amid pandemic.]
PINK PINEAPPLE - Trying The Most "Instagrammable" Fruit (Pinkglow) - Weird Fruit Explorer
https://youtu.be/1JAE73n13vg
Saturday, October 24, 2020
Market is going significantly higher: BlackRock’s bond king Rick Rieder
https://youtu.be/jE2RmlmfG0Y
Krystal and Saagar BREAK DOWN Theater Vs. Substance From Last Presidential Debate
https://youtu.be/x7njd7xntAg
The 1869 law that’s kept our Supreme Court mind-blowingly out of date | Yang Speaks
https://youtu.be/jB7MH95xhhE
The First Room Temperature Superconductor! (Still No Hoverboards) | SciShow News
https://youtu.be/1j7bMsFogJE
ELECTION INTERFERENCE: Iran's Spam Emails! War Mongering At Final Debate.
https://youtu.be/oUvUjzkyU8I
Jim Cramer: Tesla's financials are 'as clean as can be,' it's doing incredibly well
https://youtu.be/hlh1srYqmI4
Krystal and Saagar: Court COVERS UP For Powerful Named In Epstein Case, Sells Out Underage Victims
https://youtu.be/ajNpyCMN3yU
2020 Presidential AND SENATE Electoral Map (10/24/2020)
Today's posting based on real clear politics polling.
I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
With less than one month to election day. This race is now almost decided with the poor performance of the first debate (by both Biden and Trump.)
What I have heard is the second debate was better than the first. The mute function that the committee has placed is just plain wrong and raw. It is the political split that is causing the candidates to act in a way that is rude. (Besides the fact that both Trump and Biden have ties to the global cabal network that has influenced their thinking rather than working for the American People.) I will address the second debate later.
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has placed a more dire clock for the election on both parties. COVID-19 is eroding the senate, the SCOTUS Ginsburg seat is still in play for vote after election (but after January confirmation?) As of now, it looks like the virus is on the supreme court, not any political party or human:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/supreme-court-trump-covid/616608/
It is possible that the Ginsburg seat may be filled in before the January Presidential inauguration; during the lame duck period from election day though January's inauguration day.
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 355 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
There are 3 states that are thin margin states and the State of Maine that has ranked choice voting. It is possible that this election will have a green candidate senator from Maine instead of a Democrat.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
States that are too close to call are
(in parenthesis is leaning that direction)
North Carolina (democrat)
Wisconsin (democrat)
Florida (democrat)
Michigan (democrat)
Georgia (thin margin) (democrat)
Arizona (democrat)
Iowa (thin margin) (democrat)
Ohio (thin margin) (republican)
Texas (republican)
States that would lean or vote for Biden
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
*polling not strong enough to decide a state for trump
--
The numbers are:
biden 268
trump 125
toss up 145
----
no toss up
biden 355
trump 181
toss up 2 (ne and me electoral college districts not evaluated)
----
If Biden keeps moving positive polling in his direction it is more than likely to win election.
*[The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout. The Democratic party is not helping the situation due to taking green party candidates off multiple state ballots. It is important to maintain choice.]
*I have said this previously starred above. Overall, lets see what happens in the state of Maine with ranked choice voting. It will be worth studying the results of Maine votes as it could offer third party candidates more of a way to win. There is a chance that the green party candidate can cause a valid polling split of a three way tie. If so, then both the democratic and republican candidates are in trouble. If not the presidential election then at least the senate candidate.
[because of such polling standards that might reduce democratic and republican party majorities in the Senate race; I will track the senate race too.]
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released; and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next. It is now affecting real politics as the Atlantic article suggests with the Ginsburg seat nomination.
The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency. Trump obviously lost the debate. Biden just went par or bogey (golf scoring terms.) If debate performance continues to be this bad; it is likely that a third party candidate will get more votes than what the "cabal" is comfortable with.
Biden was better in the second debate; however the muting of microphones is a huge concern about freedom of speech for the rest of us.
The sentiment generated by both political parties as well as covid-19 has increased the incentive for early voting. In my home state alone (North Carolina) about one-third to half the population has already voted. I plan for longer lines at the ballot box this year.
The winner of the election will get more debt (to GDP ratio) than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
***************************************************
2020 SENATE RACE PREDICTIONS AND POLL WATCH
I will not produce a map as only 1/3 of all senate seats are ever up for election every two years.
The Senate is 2 seats per state with 6 year terms.
It is the opinion of tonyotag that there should be an amendment to the constitution of the United States to up representation to three Senators per state with 6 year terms (election every two years.) Why do so? To gauge the parties and the will of the people better; better statistical averaging over a 12 or 18 year period.
All numbers are based on polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/create_your_own_senate_map.html
senate as counted with toss up
democrat 47
republican 47
toss up 6
senate as counted as no toss up
democrat 51
republican 49
States with consistent polling for one candidate
Maine (democrat) (depends on ranked choice voting; green party candidate may have a chance to win the seat)
Minnesota (democrat)
Montana (republican)
toss up Senate seats
North Carolina (democrat)
South Carolina (republican)
Georgia 1 (republican)
Michigan (democrat)
Iowa (democrat)
Arizona (democrat)
Over 52 million Americans have already voted. How does it break down by party?
https://www.kansascity.com/news/nation-world/national/article246662498.html
*****Are both parties trying to get each other elected? If so, then there is a single player controlling both parties (not the electorate.) This control requires gaslighting the opposition to vote for their cause, is that what Trump is for? For Democrats to win 2020 by "default?"
Friday, October 23, 2020
Insider Trading And Congress: How Lawmakers Get Rich From The Stock Market
https://youtu.be/TdYqE60-8E8
Krystal and Saagar: Ben Shapiro’s Endorsement Of Trump Is Accurate, And DAMNING For Trump
https://youtu.be/HrX6ohNvwoA
Top value investor shutters his firm as growth outperforms - Tracking the divide
https://youtu.be/uL2cZhp0VQg
Joe Discusses Wine Fraud Documentary "Sour Grapes" with Maynard James Keenan
https://youtu.be/m_ROYL1l2zg
Thursday, October 22, 2020
Krystal and Saagar: Debate Rules LOCKED IN As Both Campaigns Make Last Ditch Efforts
https://youtu.be/8j_piXquFII
Wednesday, October 21, 2020
What's Going On with Child Trafficking and Why Doesn't It Get News Coverage?
https://youtu.be/KnFnyC3v0zU
Krystal and Saagar: Iowa Sen HUMILIATED Not Knowing Price Of Soybeans Despite Claiming To Be Farmer
https://youtu.be/Z4xF0A2i_fA
Jim Cramer unveils the 'magnificent 7' stocks investors keep pushing higher during the pandemic
https://youtu.be/12TEwSdpu6I
PayPal To Allow the Use of Cryptocurrency
https://www.investopedia.com/tech/cryptocurrency-this-week/
Tuesday, October 20, 2020
Larry Summers Says We Are Entering Another Period of Revolution
https://youtu.be/Le-NXeD_q3c
Why pay off debt in 3rd world countries? Because the wealthy want a clean slate and lots of monetary volatility to invest and reap the money they have circulated from 1st world tax revenues (base).
This is why Trump won on America First message. Those who keep playing the shenanigans with the world's finances will be hung out to dry. Hint: Jeffrey Epstein and all those associated with him is just a very small tip of a large iceberg (from a waste dump of human history.)
Why pay off debt in 3rd world countries? Because the wealthy want a clean slate and lots of monetary volatility to invest and reap the money they have circulated from 1st world tax revenues (base).
This is why Trump won on America First message. Those who keep playing the shenanigans with the world's finances will be hung out to dry. Hint: Jeffrey Epstein and all those associated with him is just a very small tip of a large iceberg (from a waste dump of human history.)
Monday, October 19, 2020
Krystal Ball: "Back to Brunch" Liberals Will Be DEVASTATED By Biden Era
https://youtu.be/CZH0cZGALB4
The brain evolved in an arms race between predator and prey | Lisa Feldman Barrett and Lex Fridman
https://youtu.be/nXZhLHSg7sE
The Funky Academic: The Terrible Anti-Politics Of Back To Brunch Liberals
https://youtu.be/fPd1UvXOPgM
Krystal and Saagar DEBATE: Is Kanye’s Campaign Ad The Best Or Worst Of the 2020 Cycle?
https://youtu.be/LJ8Gp1K4IfI
Allianz's El-Erian on the exacerbation of income inequality during the pandemic
https://youtu.be/TRGjC-LmBgQ
Sunday, October 18, 2020
The Honest Pre-flight Safety Demonstration Video That Airlines Are Afraid to Show You
https://youtu.be/SZB4_-tiRt0
Krystal and Saagar: Trump FINALLY Hits Biden Where It Hurts, Is It Too Late?
https://youtu.be/M52Xg3V3P8k
The importance of doubt in tech | Tristan Harris + Andrew Yang | Yang Speaks
https://youtu.be/S--fSlqJ9Rw
2020 Presidential AND SENATE Electoral Map (10/18/2020)
Today's posting based on real clear politics polling.
I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
With less than one month to election day. This race is now almost decided with the poor performance of the first debate (by both Biden and Trump) ; and, and the lack of a second debate: https://www.wsj.com/articles/presidential-debates-2020-trump-biden-11601048201
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has placed a more dire clock for the election on both parties. COVID-19 is eroding the senate, the SCOTUS Ginsburg seat is still in play for vote after election (but after January confirmation?) As of now, it looks like the virus is on the supreme court, not any political party or human:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/supreme-court-trump-covid/616608/
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 355 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
If Trump cannot improve debate performance, then the electoral college will be a 100+ point blowout in favor of Biden. There is a chance that 2 or 3 states will be thin margin votes (less than a fraction of 1%) win for either presidential candidates.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
States that are too close to call are
North Carolina
Florida
Michigan
Georgia
Arizona
Iowa
Ohio (thin margin)
States that would lean or vote for Biden
Wisconsin
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
Texas
--
The numbers are:
biden 262
trump 163
toss up 113
----
no toss up
biden 355
trump 163
toss up 2 (ne and me electoral college districts not evaluated)
----
If Biden keeps moving positive polling in his direction it is more than likely to win election.
*[The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout. The Democratic party is not helping the situation due to taking green party candidates off multiple state ballots. It is important to maintain choice.]
*I have said this previously starred above. Overall, lets see what happens in the state of Maine with ranked choice voting. It will be worth studying the results of Maine votes as it could offer third party candidates more of a way to win. There is a chance that the green party candidate can cause a valid polling split of a three way tie. If so, then both the democratic and republican candidates are in trouble. If not the presidential election then at least the senate candidate.
[because of such polling standards that might reduce democratic and republican party majorities in the Senate race; I will track the senate race too.]
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released; and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next. It is now affecting real politics as the Atlantic article suggests with the Ginsburg seat nomination.
The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency. Trump obviously lost the debate. Biden just went par or bogey (golf scoring terms.) If debate performance continues to be this bad; it is likely that a third party candidate will get more votes than what the "cabal" is comfortable with.
The winner of the election will get more debt (to GDP ratio) than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
***************************************************
2020 SENATE RACE PREDICTIONS AND POLL WATCH
I will not produce a map as only 1/3 of all senate seats are ever up for election every two years.
The Senate is 2 seats per state with 6 year terms.
It is the opinion of tonyotag that there should be an amendment to the constitution of the United States to up representation to three Senators per state with 6 year terms (election every two years.) Why do so? To gauge the parties and the will of the people better; better statistical averaging over a 12 or 18 year period.
All numbers are based on polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/create_your_own_senate_map.html
senate as counted as no toss up
democrat 51
republican 49
States that will elect Senate democrat
Maine (depends on ranked choice voting; green party candidate may have a chance to win the seat)
Iowa
North Carolina
Michigan
republican
South Carolina
Georgia 1
Montana
Saturday, October 17, 2020
Krystal and Saagar: Noam Chomsky CHALLENGED On Vote Blue No Matter Who, Twitter Erupts
https://youtu.be/FdFTe3OjdGg
How the next president could change policing | 2020 Election
https://youtu.be/SHePglP28CM
THERE NEEDS TO BE REFORM
OR
THE PEOPLE WILL "REFORM" THE ELECTED OFFICALS AND THEIR PARTIES
GOP Panics, Trump Support COLLAPSES Nationally
https://youtu.be/ZyvxaFLV1N0
Is skewed left but interesting to watch[UFO NEWS] Krystal and Saagar: Harry Reid Says Most UFO Evidence ‘Has Not Seen The Light Of Day’
https://youtu.be/ipT7rYpazSY
"Are You BETTER Off?" Surprising Poll Results!
https://youtu.be/Bs9L15apy5c
**I am not disputing "failed state" claims. I am stating as an economist that government policies (larger the institution, longer the time and the larger the investment it takes) take 18 to 24 months to take effect. Trump's tax cuts took fully economic effect in new tax year 2020 when it comes to practical reinvestment.Saagar Enjeti: Pelosi’s OUTRAGEOUS Obstruction Of Stimulus Dooms Millions To Score Political Points
https://youtu.be/vjkR2S3NH9M
How Canada, Australia, New Zealand, & The UK Are Secretly Forming One Global Superpower: CANZUK
https://youtu.be/SHglo_N7P_Y
Krystal and Saagar: Twitter REVERSES Policy, But FCC Prepares Hammer Against Big Tech
https://youtu.be/kJFttRGnKI0
Paul Saladino Talks About The Real Differences Between LDL & HDL Cholesterol
https://youtu.be/oiyKRS8wHeg
Media Screwups w/ Katie Halper: Debate Moderator Suspended After Caught Lying About Twitter Hack
https://youtu.be/1Ic0va_dZDY
The Week: Biden In Michigan, Trump Abandons Populism, GOP Registration Numbers
https://youtu.be/tERfj4ZYIho
Friday, October 16, 2020
Tesla asks customers to vote AGAINST Right to Repair (question 1 in MA)
https://youtu.be/4fjnAZ1eZDs
BREAKING: Jobless Claims SURGE, Stock Market Drops, Millions More Officially In Poverty
https://youtu.be/BuZg3psMBxg
Thursday, October 15, 2020
Jim Cramer explains why U.S. stock investors should not sell on European coronavirus worries
https://youtu.be/FvmpaBrK3zs
Investors Moving Away From Traditional Safe Havens: BlackRock’s Mateos y Lago
https://youtu.be/bl0Q0naUBrk
Wednesday, October 14, 2020
Krystal and Saagar: Joe Biden Says Voters ‘Don’t Deserve’ To Know If He Supports Court Packing
https://youtu.be/2owPj5u1PKg
Tuesday, October 13, 2020
Saagar Enjeti: Trump's LAST CHANCE Is To FORCE Republicans To Vote For Stimulus
https://youtu.be/CB4ulsJfjcM
Krystal and Saagar: Trump’s DESPERATE Attempt For Election Miracle, Biden At Largest Lead Since 1936
https://youtu.be/8YkRXrvW42A
Monday, October 12, 2020
Amy Coney Barrett went to my all-girls high school. I hope she's not confirmed
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/oct/12/amy-coney-barrett-bad-choice-women
China threatens invasion of Taiwan in new video showing military might
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/china-taiwan-invasion-military-exercise/2020/10/12/291f5d86-0c58-11eb-b404-8d1e675ec701_story.html
Study finds COVID-19 coronavirus can survive 28 days on some surfaces
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/covid-19-can-survive-28-days-on-glass-plastic-steel-surfaces/
Sunday, October 11, 2020
The Week: Calling For A Third Party, Wishing Trump Well, A Bleak Economic Outlook
https://youtu.be/AHzdDPcHHNg
Penguins Might be Cute, but They're Also Super Gross | Seven Worlds, One Planet | BBC Earth
https://youtu.be/dCQVci2IXag
****tragedy of the commons
The Levitating Liquid Pendulum
https://youtu.be/gMAKamGIiMc
*new energy format here? Antigravity possible if an object vibrates the right way? Worth investigating further; or has the military industrial complex already have...? (UFO research possible answer here?)
Doctors injected frogs w/ pee to test for pregnancy, this is what happened
https://youtu.be/3hvWBC-pTvY
South Korea’s Universal Basic Income Experiment to Boost the Economy | WSJ
https://youtu.be/EbWv_1NbWyw
How The U.S. Postal Service Fell Into A Financial Black Hole
https://youtu.be/-akx27UB6lc
********
It is tonyotag's opinion that the postal service needs to have more services like simple banking (checking and savings accounts); and, be able to raise stamp prices to raise the revenue needed to maximize its financial security. Beauro of labor statistics already track inflation, just get the price of stamps higher. Congress needs to allow stamp prices to rise. Finally, it is possible that the US postal service buildings can be used for solar (where profitable of solar effectivity.)
Saturday, October 10, 2020
2020 Presidential AND SENATE Electoral Map (10/10/2020)
Today's posting based on real clear politics polling.
I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
With less than one month to election day. This race is now almost decided with the poor performance of the first debate (by both Biden and Trump.)
The second debate is cancelled:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/presidential-debates-2020-trump-biden-11601048201
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has placed a more dire clock for the election on both parties. COVID-19 is eroding the senate, the SCOTUS Ginsburg seat is still in play for vote after election (but after January confirmation?) As of now, it looks like the virus is on the supreme court, not any political party or human:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/supreme-court-trump-covid/616608/
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 373 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
If Trump cannot improve debate performance, then the electoral college will be a 100+ point blowout in favor of Biden. There is a chance that 2 or 3 states will be thin margin votes (less than a fraction of 1%) win for either presidential candidates.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
States that are too close to call are
North Carolina
Florida
Michigan
Georgia (thin margin)
Arizona
Iowa
Ohio (thin margin)
States that would lean or vote for Biden
Wisconsin
Nevada
Pennsylvania
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
Texas
--
The numbers are:
biden 262
trump 163
toss up 113
----
no toss up
biden 339
trump 163
toss up 2 (ne and me electoral college districts not evaluated)
thin margin toss up 34 (ga and oh)
otherwise no toss up excluding ne and me especial electoral votes
biden 373
trump 163
----
If Biden keeps moving positive polling in his direction it is more than likely to win election.
*[The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout. The Democratic party is not helping the situation due to taking green party candidates off multiple state ballots. It is important to maintain choice.]
*I have said this previously starred above. Overall, lets see what happens in the state of Maine with ranked choice voting. It might be worth studying the results if Maine votes for the green party candidate or if there is a valid polling split of a three way tie...? If not the presidential election then at least the senate candidate.
[because of such polling standards that might reduce democratic and republican party majorties in the Senate race; I will track the senate race too.]
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released; and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next. It is now affecting real politics as the Atlantic article suggests with the Ginsburg seat nomination.
The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency. Trump obviously lost the debate. Biden just went par or bogey (golf scoring terms.) If debate performance continues to be this bad; it is likely that a third party candidate will get more votes than what the "cabal" is comfortable with.
The winner of the election will get more debt (to GDP ratio) than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
***************************************************
2020 SENATE RACE PREDICTIONS AND POLL WATCH
I will not produce a map as only 1/3 of all senate seats are ever up for election every two years.
The Senate is 2 seats per state with 6 year terms.
It is the opinion of tonyotag that there should be an amendment to the constitution of the United States to up representation to three Senators per state with 6 year terms (election every two years.) Why do so? To gauge the parties and the will of the people better; better statistical averaging over a 12 or 18 year period.
All numbers are based on polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/create_your_own_senate_map.html
senate
democrat 49
republican 46
toss up 5
no toss up
democrat 51
republican 49
States that will elect Senate democrat...maybe
Maine (depends on ranked choice voting; green party candidate may have a chance to win the seat)
Iowa
republican
*no states in this part of the list; many states are toss up for republican
toss up
North Carolina democrat
South Carolina (republican; thin margin)
Georgia republican
Michigan democrat
Montana republican
You have a Right to Resist an Unlawful Arrest in Georgia, says state Supreme Court
https://youtu.be/aT0YdDFWnwY
Krystal and Saagar: Media Elites Say If You Make $400,000 You’re Middle Class
https://youtu.be/qMimsJbYoyk
Friday, October 9, 2020
Thursday, October 8, 2020
Saagar Enjeti: Trump’s ‘Just The Flu’ And Killing Stimulus Is His WORST DAY As President
https://youtu.be/Ih9WOUufwNE
'Boogaloo' movement associated with group accused of trying to kidnap Michigan governor
https://youtu.be/PJ3CPD9K_go
*is this a frame job where the cabal hires or brainwashes individuals (and small groups) to do things that are not so legal in order to make certain rumors and economic or political arguments seem like terrorist propaganda? One must ask this question of what is the ulterior motive to this trope.
Wednesday, October 7, 2020
Krystal and Saagar: SHOCKING CNN Poll Shows Trump 16 Points Down With Less Than One Month To Go
https://youtu.be/-xxJpSJ5ZGo
Krystal and Saagar: SHOCKING CNN Poll Shows Trump 16 Points Down With Less Than One Month To Go
https://youtu.be/-xxJpSJ5ZGo
Tuesday, October 6, 2020
Monday, October 5, 2020
Pope Francis echoes Warren Buffett in a letter blaming free markets for rising inequality
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/pope-francis-echoes-warren-buffett-blames-inequality-free-markets-2020-10-1029648920#
The Week: What's In The Polling, SCOTUS Fallout, Should There Be More Presidential Debates?
https://youtu.be/G1lmg4vvcnc
Supreme Court begins new term, will decide fate of Obamacare — and maybe the election
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-begins-new-term-will-decide-fate-obamacare-maybe-n1242085
The accounting oligopoly: What’s next for the Big Four? | CNBC Explains
https://youtu.be/_2lek28Mw3k
Sunday, October 4, 2020
Jim Cramer says Wall Street has made its mind up about stimulus: 'It doesn't matter'
https://youtu.be/yZ_e2ioIcU4
Recycler gets sued by Apple for 31 MILLION DOLLARS for reusing instead of recycling...
https://youtu.be/6KCaS1z2MuE
Jim Cramer says Congress 'missed the boat' on helping small businesses: 'They blew it'
https://youtu.be/AX-oO6UVsXU
2020 Presidental Electoral Map (10/04/2020)
At the bottom of the article is a map of who I think will win the vote as of today's posting based on real clear politics polling.
I will keep up as much as possible with politics on my blog.
With one month to election day. This race is now almost decided with the poor performance of the first debate (by both Biden and Trump.)
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has placed a more dire clock for the election on both parties. COVID-19 is eroding the senate, the SCOTUS Ginsburg seat is still in play for vote after election (but after January confirmation?) As of now, it looks like the virus is on the supreme court, not any political party or human:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/supreme-court-trump-covid/616608/
If the election was held today. I do predict Biden would win with around at least 373 electoral points out of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
If Trump cannot improve debate performance, then the electoral college will be a 100+ point blowout in favor of Biden.
I will only name states that are listed on realcearpolitics.com as toss-up or too close to call.
States that are too close to call are
Florida
Michigan
North Carolina (thin margin)
Georgia
Arizona
Iowa (thin margin)
Ohio
States that would lean or vote for Biden
Wisconsin
Nevada
Pennsylvania
States that would lean or vote for Trump:
Texas
--
The numbers are:
biden 262
trump 163
toss up 113
----
no toss up
biden 373
trump 163
toss up 2 (ne and me electoral college districts not evaluated)
----
If Biden keeps moving positive polling in his direction it is more than likely to win election.
*[The tone has changed by the progressive press that Trump has lost the faith of the people due to mismanagement of the current virus pandemic. Additionally, the looming disappointment of Biden losing to Trump might be related to the carryover effect from last several month's progressive press saying that Trump will win the electoral college with unpopular vote (again) due to low Democratic voter turnout. The Democratic party is not helping the situation due to taking green party candidates off multiple state ballots. It is important to maintain choice.]
*I have said this previously starred above. Overall, lets see what happens in the state of Maine with ranked choice voting. It might be worth studying the results if Maine votes for the green party candidate or if there is a valid polling split of a three way tie...? If not the presidential election then at least the senate candidate.
The pandemic is still taking its toll, there is a waiting game of what would happen when vaccine is released and when N. America goes though Fall and Winter to see what covid-19 death rates would be. Such outcomes could affect whoever takes office next. It is now affecting real politics as the atlantic article suggests with the Ginsburg seat nomination.
The sentiment is still true that Biden becoming president of the United States will depend on his debate performance. If Biden lacks performance, then we will have a true issue of seizure Trump or a lacking Biden presidency. Trump obviously lost the debate. Biden just went par or bogey (golf scoring terms.) If debate performance continues to be this bad; it is likely that a third party candidate will get more votes than what the "cabal" is comfortable with.
The winner of the election will get more debt (to GDP ratio) than the American people can handle. The true winners will be the owners and investors of the Federal Reserve. Winners will also be US treasury holders due to the new Federal Reserve's stance of inflating the currency (such a plan will not work due to how the trade policy is different this time; but maybe that is the plan...?)
------
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
How Much Can I Receive From My Social Security Retirement Benefit?
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/102814/what-maximum-i-can-receive-my-social-security-retirement-benefit.asp
Best Candidate for U.S. Senate! LISA SAVAGE For Maine! **
https://youtu.be/NtdVSiVgDQc
**When ranked choice voting works
Krystal and Saagar: Republicans, Pelosi STAND IN WAY Of More Stimulus While Economy Slowly Collapses
https://youtu.be/xbZUFUV2gFs
Using Regeneron cocktail to treat Trump was a wholly appropriate call: Dr. Gottlieb
https://youtu.be/B5GCjJmkfyk
How Lobbying Became A $3.5 Billion Industry [not very large by percentage of GDP]
https://youtu.be/FZVfTCBUkgM
3.5 billion is not a large number.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp
3.5/21427.7 =
1.6334*10^-4 is appx 1.6% of the US economy as of 2019 GDP size
Yes it is about the money, yes it is about the power; no, more lobbying as a percentage of GDP could happen as it is a social tax (not a tax that is paid, it is a tax of time and opporunity cost, not money)
Saturday, October 3, 2020
LEAK: Trump Campaign Tried to STOP Black People from Voting
https://youtu.be/8SccMZrWVqI
Maybe in 2016 there was Trump intimidation tactics in many states; especially swing states.Krystal and Saagar: RECORD HIGH Number Of Americans Think Political Violence Is Justified
https://youtu.be/AjxMK7rySuU
Krystal & Saagar REACT: Economic Horror Show, THOUSANDS Face LAYOFFS, Unemployment Remains Historic
https://youtu.be/X5qd3Q6SJ30
Saagar Enjeti: Wall Street, Big Businesses Go ALL IN For Biden, Democratic Party
https://youtu.be/uW1AvzBGof8
Friday, October 2, 2020
Judge SLAMS Epic in Fortnite / Apple Preliminary Injunction Hearing (Epic v. Apple)
https://youtu.be/C_vDjLxsqn8
Krystal and Saagar: Media Mum As MASSIVE Criminal Financial Enterprise At JPMorgan Chase Exposed
https://youtu.be/o9PLuKWRlQk
Joe Rogan & Anthony Cumia - The Bizarre and Hilarious Real Origin of The Proud Boys
https://youtu.be/TFaK6N5mz2U
Thursday, October 1, 2020
Krystal and Saagar REACT: Who Won The Worst Presidential Debate In American History
https://youtu.be/U0efIB2cyjA
K-Shaped Recovery [because...]
https://www.investopedia.com/k-shaped-recovery-5080086
K-shaped recovery because that is what the controlers of the world wanted in the first place by pushing for America's decline since the mid to late 1800's.
This was planned by something. (Human or not it was planned.)
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