Democratic race to the White House Delegate count
Sanders 45
Buttigieg 25
Biden 15
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
All other candidates have none
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
Bargaining power: Warren + Klobuchar + Biden = 30
OR
Bargaining power: Buttigieg + Biden + Warren + Klobuchar = 55
Sanders had a blowout in Nevada Caucuses where he received 24 Convention Delegates (40.5% of the state vote.)
Buttigieg only received 3 delegates in Nevada and Biden received 9.
.
I, tonyotag, will place out a prediction on Thursday 2/27/2020 about South Carolina polls and who will win or tie for placement. Furthermore, I will make a prediction about Super Tuesday on Monday 3/2/2020.
Right now Sanders is a clear front runner. Will Sanders be able to maintain support in South Carolina AND the following Super Tuesday? Unless the lead can be maintained and bargaining power with Democratic Convention is capped with more delegates, then Sanders is still vulnerable to the Bargaining power that all other major players have in getting Sanders to move over as the nominee. The recent news cycles saying the "will of the people" will be followed is not as advertised: Which people? Voters? Or Delegate Barganing AND super-delegate negotiations behind the scenes. Only, more state elections will provide more clarity before convention and nomination.
The real answer is also when will others who have no or low delegates drop out?
No new politicians have dropped out so far as of this posting.
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Nevada Caucus Results 2020
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nevada_democratic_caucus_results.html
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