Nevada Primary 2020 Predictions

Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories

Sources:

https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus

https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020


Top NEVADA candidates

Sanders: 50% or more of the delegates; a clear winner of Nevada

Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates

Buttigieg: 10% or less of the delegates

Warren: 10% or less of the delegates

Klobuchar: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote

Steyer: no delegates, just shy of getting 15% of the vote


Sanders winning New Hampshire and popular vote of Iowa helps boot name recognition in Nevada. Sanders is the clear front runner as multiple polls have sent signals that Sanders will be getting 28 to 35% or more of the vote. Biden, Buttigieg and Warren might tie or be low on the delegate count if they reach 15% of the vote, respectvily. Klobuchar and Steyer might get a delegate, but would be too close to call at this point of the polling; they may get no delegates from Nevada.

**Keep in mind more candidates are dropping out of the race, therefore more voters to have less options. Lets keep watching after South Caroina..Super Tuesday and Bloomberg's showing in some polls in some states to be at or slightly above 15%


IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/20/2020

**Note


Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nv/nevada_democratic_presidential_caucus-6866.html