Featured Post

Military Patent Infringement (Pentagon takes your genius crap)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-08/congratulations-your-genius-patent-is-now-a-military-secret

Search This Blog

Sunday, February 9, 2020

New Hampshire Primary 2020 Predictions

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY PREDICTIONS

Rule: must be 15% or more of the vote to get party delegates for all states and territories

Sources:

https://www.270towin.com/content/thresholds-for-delegate-allocation-2020-democratic-primary-and-caucus

https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020

Top NEW HAMPSHIRE candidates

Sanders: 23 to 30% of the delegates

Buttigieg: 15 to 23% of the delegates

Biden: 10 to 15% of the delegates

Warren: 10 to 15% f the delegates
*essentially, Biden and Warren are tied.

Klobuchar: about 10 to 15% of the delegates

All others get no delegates and more candidates will retire their campaigns by the end of the week OR right after the New Hampshire Primary on 2/11/2020. It really depends on attrition of the candidates. Since Iowa, Buttigieg has risen in the polling that constitutes a focus or candidate highlight for voters, this may play well for Buttigieg in future primaries (not just New Hampshire.) Sanders has an overwhelming New Hampshire win. 

IMAGES ARE DATE STAMPED AS OF THE PUBLISHMENT OF THIS BLOG POST: 02/09/2020

**Note that this prediction is 48 hours away from New Hampshire primary on 2/11/2020. Polls may happen that change the prediction.

SOURCE: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html


No comments:

Post a Comment